Risk Aversion Nearing an End?

Market turns occur at sentiment extremes and there is nothing more indicative of a sentiment extreme than a market story featured on a magazine cover. A few issues back, the Economist magazine cover read, "All You Need is Cash". This cover came in response to the across the board liquidation in assets / subsantial increase in value of cash (which is on the other side of every trade). The implications are that the liquidation seen in all assets since July, equities, commodities, and foreign currencies, may be near an end, if only for a number of months.

One way to play a recovery in 'risk' is through the EURJPY (or any cross), which declines as credit contracts (risk aversion) and rallies as credit expands (risk tolerance). The bottom line is that the magazine cover warns of a turn from extreme risk aversion, if only temporarily.

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